Las Vegas Homes, Condos, Land and Commercial Real Estate Blog

The number of Las Vegas Shadow inventory homes or unsold bank owned home inventory in Las Vegas is NOT 25,000-35,000; it is 6,500 foreclosure homes that will have little effect on Las Vegas residential real estate market

The 25,000-35,000 unsold foreclosure or Bank Owned homes in Las Vegas that banks are holding back from the Las Vegas real estate market for fear of price reductions, have been the talk of town until I CRUSHED it through 4 blog posts.

I put forth the mathematical formula for calculating the number of shadow inventory homes in Las Vegas and explained how it should be calculated. I can because I have aced many PHD level mathematics courses while in Graduate School.

In the concluding blog post in the series I stated that this number has to be less than 10,000 and the only reason that I don’t have an exact number is that I don’t pretend to be a Las Vegas real estate analyst and don’t tabulate for example, the number of homes sold in real estate auctions or in bulk sales of land to the Las Vegas new homes builders which I have explained in posts, but true real estate analysts should.

 When Las Vegas real estate analyst Dennis Smith kept repeating there are 25,000-35,000 shadow inventory homes in Las Vegas, I did a blog post titled

Real estate analyst Mr. Smith GUESSES the wrong number of Las Vegas unsold foreclosed homes

In this blog I wrote “The best analyst is Larry Murphy, the real estate analyst that I pay no attention to is Dennis Smith and unfortunately others do”. And the reason is that I know for a fact that Larry Murphy tabulates sales transactions in Las Vegas by type and would have access to all of the data that is necessary to calculate the number of shadow home inventory in Vegas.  BEHOLD – The conformation for my assertions came from Larry Murphy.

This is from The Las Vegas Review Journal article today.

“Murphy estimated a “shadow inventory” of 6,500 homes owned by the bank that have yet to be released on the market, plus 18,500 pre-foreclosure filings that may or may not go to foreclosure.”

He also said “Even a shadow inventory of 25,000 homes is not that many, he said. Las Vegas had 24,067 foreclosures in 2008 and 20,426 in 2009”.

See my blog post about the effect of foreclosures on Las Vegas real estate market.

Las Vegas real estate, the effect of foreclosures (bank owned homes) on the Las Vegas homes market

I also used Mr. Dennis Smith’s name in the blog title, I have never used a name in a negative blog, because I have power and have to use it judicially. My blog post will show up in the Goggle first page when searching for the name of the person that I wrote about and if it is negative, it will negatively affect that person’s life and he would have no recourse. Google, (Dennis Smith Las Vegas) and you will understand, and keep in mind that he is very popular. The reason is that all he had to do is to Google (shadow inventory homes in Las Vegas) and would have found my blog posts that disprove the numbers that he kept using after I published my series of blog posts. I am not here to hurt anyone, but his bull that is published by broke newspapers which need sensational stories to sell papers is seriously effecting the lives of my fellow Realtors and real estate agents by falsely scaring away home and condo buyers in Las Vegas, I know more than a few starving Realtors.

In case you think that I am over reacting, see national so called “real estate analysts” predicting 20% drop in Las Vegas residential real estate prices in the coming year that can be easily explained if we have 35,000 shadow inventory homes in Las Vegas and impossible to prove if unsold bank owned homes inventory is 6,500. I will explain this in the next blog post.